Sample alerts.
What members get, rebuilt from the public record with real S&P 500 closes. One for each kind of event in the record so far.
Three alerts, three kinds of news.
Each sample uses the same past cases and the same closing prices as the record. They show the format. They are not alerts that went out on those dates.
- Every alert looks back to
- 1993
- Results per past case: 1 mo, 3 mo, 1 yr
- 3
- Places it lands: email, Telegram
- 2
- Read time per alert
- ~1minute
Sample · Telegram
Government shutdown, Oct 2025.
The alert lists all 5 earlier shutdowns since 1993 and what the S&P 500 did after each one. The one loss, Jan 2018, is right there with the wins.
What the alert said, from the 5 earlier shutdowns since 1993:
- Times before
- 5
- Higher a year later
- 4 of 5
- Best, 1 year
- +33.5%
- Worst, 1 year
- −6.3%
What happened next · S&P 500
1 month+2.6%
3 months+2.6%
1 year+14.7%
Real S&P 500 closes from the record. The history in the alert said typical: +17.1% a year later.
Sample · Email
Fed rate cut, Sep 2024.
The same alert arrives by email, with the full table: each of the 5 earlier cuts and what stocks did 1 month, 3 months and 1 year later. Two of them were lower a year later. Both are in it.
What the alert said, from the 5 earlier Fed cuts since 1993:
- Times before
- 5
- Higher a year later
- 3 of 5
- Best, 1 year
- +20.6%
- Worst, 1 year
- −18.9%
What happened next · S&P 500
1 month+3.8%
3 months+4.1%
1 year+17.6%
Real S&P 500 closes from the record. The history in the alert said typical: +8.6% a year later.
Sample · Follow-up
Fed rate hike, Mar 2022. History was wrong.
All 5 earlier hikes were higher a year later. This time the S&P 500 was up 2.8% after a month, then down 14.0% after 3 months. The follow-ups say so, and the record keeps it.
What the alert said, from the 5 earlier Fed hikes since 1993:
- Times before
- 5
- Higher a year later
- 5 of 5
- Best, 1 year
- +38.5%
- Worst, 1 year
- +0.4%
What happened next · S&P 500
1 month+2.8%
3 months−14.0%
1 year−7.1%
The history said 5 of 5 higher a year later. This time it was 7.1% lower. That's why every alert shows the worst case, and why the record keeps the misses.
What every alert has.
Same parts, same order, every time.
01
Every past time
The same kind of event, every time it happened since 1993. Nothing picked because it looks good.
02
What stocks did next
The S&P 500 1 month, 3 months and 1 year after each one, plus the best, the worst and the typical.
03
A follow-up
A month later, how this time played out, good or bad. Then it joins the public record.
Since 1993
Get the real ones
Get the real ones
the day news hits.
Every alert, every follow-up and the full record. Email + private Telegram.
DeliveryEmail + private Telegram
Price$99 a month, about $3.25 a day
CancelAnytime, online in Whop
QuestionsI read every message
The Desk · Every alert
$99/month
- An alert the day big news hits
- Every past time since 1993, wins and losses
- What stocks did 1 month, 3 months and 1 year later
- A follow-up a month later, so you see how it went
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